LONDON, (Reuters)
Posted Tue, 03 Apr 2012
Foreign holdings of Zambian debt
have fallen to their lowest since 2005, reflecting uncertainty
over the direction of policy following elections last year and
the spillover from the global financial crisis, a central bank
official said on Tuesday.
The Bank of Zambia also wants to consolidate the 170-plus
bonds in circulation to spur trading in the secondary market,
the bank's assistant director of market operations, Jonathan
Chipili, told Reuters in a phone interview.
Offshore investors' holdings of Zambian government bonds are
less than 5 percent of outstanding debt, the lowest proportion
since foreigners were first allowed in to the market seven years
ago, Chipili said.
September's election, in which populist opposition leader
Michael Sata unseated Rupiah Banda's Movement for Multiparty
Democracy, looked like one significant factor, he said.
"The participation of foreign investors in our securities
market has reduced, even prior to the elections," he said.
"They want to be sure how the government is going to steer
its policy."
Since coming to power, Sata has made a series of decisions
that have unsettled investors in Africa's top copper producer,
including reversing the sale of state telecoms firm Zamtel and
doubling mineral royalties for copper miners to 6 percent.
Last month, Fitch cut Zambia's rating outlook to negative
from stable, citing concerns about the government's actions.
In addition to Zamtel, Sata's administration has reversed
the $5.4 million sale of a domestic bank to South Africa's
FirstRand.
Chipili said the euro zone debt crisis was also to blame for
the declining foreign interest in a high-risk frontier African
market.
"It's difficult to argue that the lower participation of
foreign investors is purely due to an election," he said. "It's
a combination of factors."
Offshore holdings of bonds were at their highest in 2008,
accounting for 18.08 percent of all bond holdings, while 2011
saw the highest foreign holdings of Treasury bills at 13.35
percent.
Zambia's central bank last week rolled out a monetary policy
framework to replace money-supply targeting, setting its
inaugural benchmark interest rate at a high 9 percent, effective
from Monday.
Chipili said the central bank was also talking to the
Ministry of Finance about reforms to improve trading in the
secondary market, including introducing a primary dealership
system and consolidating the number of outstanding bonds.
Just 1 percent of bonds in issue are traded on the secondary
market, he said.
Zambia issues bonds in six maturities ranging from two to 15
years. But the adoption of a multiple pricing approach means
each bond has its own price, Chipili said.
"We've got so many bonds on issue, so the bond market is
highly fragmented," he said. "What we want to do is to have
whatever is circulating on each tenor consolidated into one bond
so that they've got the same maturity date and when we reissue
they should have the same price."
The bank hoped to introduce the reforms this year, he added.

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